On Identification of Anomalies in Multidimensional Hydrogeochemical Data as Earthquake Precursors

Authors

  • Evgueni A. Haroutunian Institute for Informatics and Automation Problems of NAS RA
  • Irina A. Safaryan Institute for Informatics and Automation Problems of NAS RA
  • Hrachya M. Petrosyan Ministry of Emergency Situations of RA
  • Armine R. Gevorkyan Ministry of Emergency Situations of RA

Keywords:

Seismic-forecasting anomalies, Hydrogeochemical precursors of strong earthquake, Rank score test, Threshold copula, Pooled sample method

Abstract

We consider two nonparametric methods are discussed for identification of anomalies in multidimensional hydrogeochemical data with the goal of forecasting major seismic events. The first method is based on using the threshold copula function aimed at the definition of change moments in the structure of dependencies between the components of a multidimensional vector of observations. The second method is designed to transform multidimensional data to one-dimensional which allows to use rank score tests.

Author Biographies

Hrachya M. Petrosyan, Ministry of Emergency Situations of RA

“Survey for Seismic Protection” Agency

Armine R. Gevorkyan, Ministry of Emergency Situations of RA

“Survey for Seismic Protection” Agency

References

H. M. Petrosyan, Earthquake testing and prognosis, Yerevan, 2004.

H. M. Petrosyan, Precursors and Prognosis of Earthquakes on the Territory of the Republic of Armenia, Yerevan, 2009.

G. D. Rjabinin and Yu. M. Khatkevich, “On the issue of possibility of the earthquake prediction with hydrogeochemical methods”, Materials of the IV All- Russia Symposium on Volcanology and Paleo-volcanology, pp. 660-663, 2009.

A. A. Ljubooshin, Analysis of Data of Geophysical and Ecological Monitoring, Moscow, Nauka, 2007.

D. G. Asatryan and I. A. Safaryan. “Nonparametric methods for detecting changes in the properties of random sequences”, In: Detecting Changes in Random Processes. Ed. by L. Telksnys, New York, pp.1-13, 1986.

E. A. Haroutunian and I.A. Safaryan. “Nonparametric consistent assessment of moments of property changes of random sequences”, Mathematical Problems of Computer Science, vol. 17, pp. 76-85, 1997.

I. A. Safaryan, “Nonparametric estimation under gradual change of the random sequence”, Statistical Problems of Control, vol. 83, pp.121-126, 1988.

E. A. Haroutunian, I. A. Safaryan, P. A. Petrossian and H. V. Nersessian, “Earthquake precursor identification on the base of statistical analysis of hydrogeochemical time series”, Mathematical Problems of Computer Science, vol. 18, pp. 33-39, 1997.

H .V. Nersessian and E. A. Haroutunian, “Statistical nonparametric analysis of hydrogeochemical data of the Ararat station HSSP of Armenia”, Mathematical Problems Computer Science, vol. 19, pp. 40-44, 1988.

P. A. Petrossian, “Software implementation of the algorithm of detection of moments in the state changes of time series”, Mathematical Problems of Computer Science, vol. 19, pp. 32-39, 1988.

E. A. Haroutunian, I. A. Safaryan and A.O. Yesayan, “Application of special statistical algorithms of the hydrogeochemical time series monitoring with the goal of the earthquake prognosis”, Proceedings of the Conference dedicated to the 23-d anniversary of the Spitak Earthquake, MES, Yerevan, 2011.

I. A. Safaryan and A. O. Yesayan, “Copula-model applications to seismic-forecasting anomalies detection”, Multivariate Statistical Analysis and Econometrics, Proceedings of VIII International School-Seminar, Armenia – Tsakhkadzor. M., CEMI RAS, p. 189, 2012.

E. A. Haroutunian and I. A. Safaryan. “Copulas of two-dimensional threshold models”, Mathematical Problems of Computer Science, vol .31, pp. 40-48, 2008.

E. A. Haroutunian and I. A. Safaryan. “On certain threshold copulas estimators”, Abstracts of Internatioal Conference on Computer Science and Information Technologies, Yerevan, pp. 145-147, 2009.

E. A. Haroutunian and I. A. Safaryan. “On estimation of threshold parameter in three- dimensional copulas model”, Abstracts of Internatioal Conference on Computer Science and Information Technologies, Yerevan, pp. 129-131, 2011.

R.V. Nelsen, An Introduction to Copulas, Springer, New York, 2006.

Downloads

Published

2021-12-10

How to Cite

Haroutunian, E. A., Safaryan, I. A., Petrosyan, H. M., & Gevorkyan, A. R. (2021). On Identification of Anomalies in Multidimensional Hydrogeochemical Data as Earthquake Precursors. Mathematical Problems of Computer Science, 40, 76–84. Retrieved from http://mpcs.sci.am/index.php/mpcs/article/view/362

Most read articles by the same author(s)

1 2 > >>